Açık Akademik Arşiv Sistemi

GCMs simulation-based assessment for the response of the Mediterranean Gaza coastal aquifer to climate-induced changes

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dc.contributor.authors Al-Najjar, Hassan; Ceribasi, Gokmen; Dogan, Emrah; Ceyhunlu, Ahmet Iyad; Abualtayef, Mazen; Qahman, Khalid
dc.date.accessioned 2023-01-24T12:08:45Z
dc.date.available 2023-01-24T12:08:45Z
dc.date.issued 2022
dc.identifier.issn 2040-2244
dc.identifier.uri http://dx.doi.org/10.2166/wcc.2022.339
dc.identifier.uri https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12619/99605
dc.description Bu yayın 06.11.1981 tarihli ve 17506 sayılı Resmî Gazete’de yayımlanan 2547 sayılı Yükseköğretim Kanunu’nun 4/c, 12/c, 42/c ve 42/d maddelerine dayalı 12/12/2019 tarih, 543 sayılı ve 05 numaralı Üniversite Senato Kararı ile hazırlanan Sakarya Üniversitesi Açık Bilim ve Açık Akademik Arşiv Yönergesi gereğince telif haklarına uygun olan nüsha açık akademik arşiv sistemine açık erişim olarak yüklenmiştir.
dc.description.abstract In the Eastern Mediterranean countries, groundwater contained in coastal aquifers is the predominant water source for supplying water. The Mediterranean Gaza coastal aquifer in Palestine is showing alarming signs of depletion due to climate change and human-caused influences that substantially impact the hydraulic performance of the Gaza coastal aquifer. The climate statistical modeling and the downscaling of the ensemble global climate model under the representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenarios of RCP 2.60, 4.50, and 8.50 refer to a future decreasing trend in the precipitation and an increasing trend in the temperature. The stochastic model refers to an average decrease of -5.2% in the rainfall every 20 years that coincides with the RCP scenarios that show a decrease in precipitation between 0 and -5%. The rate of temperature increase over the next 20 years is defined at +1 degrees C, which closely matches the RCP results. As a result of human fast-paced activities, groundwater consumption is expected to rise by nearly 55% by the end of 2040, to around 193 million cubic meters, with a substantial withdrawal trend in southern provinces of the Gaza Strip. Consequently, the aquifer model predicts that subsurface water levels might fall at a rate of -2.50% per year, reaching a level of around -27.77 m below the mean sea level (MSL) by 2040. Alternative water supplies, such as desalinated seawater and treated wastewater, with annual maximum volumes of 110 and 16.5 million cubic meters, respectively, are expected to perfectly recharge groundwater resources of the Gaza coastal aquifer at an annual rate of about +3.65% to meet a groundwater table level of around -5 m below the MSL by 2040.
dc.language English
dc.language.iso eng
dc.publisher IWA PUBLISHING
dc.relation.isversionof 10.2166/wcc.2022.339
dc.subject Water Resources
dc.subject aquifer
dc.subject climate
dc.subject Gaza
dc.subject GCMs
dc.subject Palestine
dc.subject simulation
dc.title GCMs simulation-based assessment for the response of the Mediterranean Gaza coastal aquifer to climate-induced changes
dc.type Article
dc.contributor.authorID Ceribasi, Gokmen/0000-0003-3145-418X
dc.contributor.authorID Al-Najjar, Hassan/0000-0003-2192-4301
dc.identifier.volume 13
dc.identifier.startpage 2278
dc.identifier.endpage 2297
dc.relation.journal JOURNAL OF WATER AND CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.identifier.issue 6
dc.identifier.doi 10.2166/wcc.2022.339
dc.identifier.eissn 2408-9354
dc.contributor.author Al-Najjar, Hassan
dc.contributor.author Ceribasi, Gokmen
dc.contributor.author Dogan, Emrah
dc.contributor.author Ceyhunlu, Ahmet Iyad
dc.contributor.author Abualtayef, Mazen
dc.contributor.author Qahman, Khalid
dc.relation.publicationcategory Makale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı
dc.rights.openaccessdesignations gold


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